Does anyone live here? Mine closures and depopulation in Spanish coal mining areas
Main Article Content
Abstract
One of the most pressing socio-economic issues across EU countries has been the depopulation of a significant part of its territory. Less urbanized areas are perceived as non-attractive places to live and have been losing population steadily in the latest decades. For the case of Spain, this European-wise phenomenon has been exacerbated for several territories characterized by a large presence of primary and extractive industries in the past. We quantify empirically the contribution that the closure of the heavily subsidized coal mining had on the depopulation trends experienced in mining-intensive areas in Spain. This poses an interesting research question, since both non-mining and mining territories in Spain suffered a remarkable negative down trend in demographic terms since early nineties, which was the period on which the coal mining industry started to cease steadily its activity. Our empirical strategy relies on matching estimators that compare the demographic trend across mining-intensive and non-mining intensive municipalities in four provinces, controlling for observable characteristics and isolating the net effect of the “shock” originated by the termination of this mining activities. Our analysis finds a statistically significant and sizable negative effect on the fall of population for mining-intensive municipalities between 1991 and 2011.
Downloads
Article Details

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
References
Abadie, A., & Cattaneo, M. D. (2018). Econometric methods for program evaluation. Annual Review of Economics, 10, 465-503. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-economics-080217-053402
Abadie, A., & Imbens, G. W. (2006). Large sample properties of matching estimators for average treatment effects. Econometrica, 74(1), 235-267. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0262.2006.00655.x
Allcott, H., & Keniston, D. (2018). Dutch disease or agglomeration? The local economic effects of natural resource booms in modern America. Review of Economic Studies, 85(2), 695- 731. https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdx042
Ayala García, A., & Abellán García, A. (2018). La España rural se vacía. Departamento de Población, CSIC.
Brollo, F., Nannicini, T., Perotti, R., & Tabellini, G. (2013). The political resource curse. American Economic Review, 103(5), 1759-1796. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.103.5.1759
Butler, J., Wildermuth, G. A., Thiede, B. C., & Brown, D. L. (2020). Population change and income inequality in rural America. Population Research and Policy Review, 39, 889-911. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-020-09606-7
Carbonaro, G., Leanza, E., McCann, P., & Medda, F. (2018). Demographic decline, population aging, and modern financial approaches to urban policy. International Regional Science Review, 41(2), 210- 232. https://doi.org/10.1177/0160017616675916
Cattaneo, M. D. (2010). Efficient semiparametric estimation of multi-valued treatment effects under ignorability. Journal of Econometrics, 155(2), 138-154. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2009.09.023
Díaz Morlán, P., & Escudero, A. (2012). La nacionalización de la compañía del RIF. In A. Carreras & J. Nadal (Eds.), La industrialització i el desenvolupament econòmic d’Espanya, (pp. 891-903). Edicions Universitat Barcelona.
Esposito, E., & Abramson, S. F. (2021). The European coal curse. Journal of Economic Growth, 26, 77-112. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10887-021-09187-w
European Union. (1993). Council Directive 93/76/EEC of 13 September 1993 to limit carbon dioxide emissions by improving energy efficiency (SAVE). Official Journal of the European Communities, L 237, 28.09.1993. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A31993L0076
European Parliament & Council of the European Union. (2003). Directive 2003/87/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 13 October 2003 establishing a scheme for greenhouse gas emission allowance trading within the Community and amending Council Directive 96/61/EC (Text with EEA relevance). Official Journal of the European Union, L 275, 25.10.2003. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A32003L0087
European Parliament & Council of the European Union. (2010). Directive 2010/75/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 24 November 2010 on industrial emissions (integrated pollution prevention and control) (recast). Official Journalof the European Union, L 334, 17.12.2010. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A32010L0075
Fernández, I. del R. (2000). How costly is the maintenance of the coal-mining jobs in Europe? The Spanish case 1989-1995. Energy Policy, 28(8), 537-547. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0301-4215(00)00042-2
Franklin, R. S. (2020). I come to bury (population) growth, not to praise it. Spatial Economic Analysis, 15(4), 359-373. https://doi.org/10.1080/17421772.2020.1802056
Franklin, R. S., van Leeuwen, E. S., & Paez, A. (2018). Transportation where people leave: An introduction. Advances in Transport Policy and Planning, 2, 1-14. https://doi.org/10.1016/bs.atpp.2018.09.008
González Rabanal, N. (2005). Importancia de los planes de reordenación en la reconversión del carbón en España. Pecvnia: Revista de la Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Universidad de León, 1, 67-92. https://doi.org/10.18002/pec.v0i1.742
Gradstein, M., & Klemp, M. (2020). Natural resource access and local economic growth. European Economic Review, 127, 103441. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2020.103441
Haase, A., Bernt, M., Großmann, K., Mykhnenko, V., & Rink, D. (2016). Varieties of shrinkage in European cities. European Urban and Regional Studies, 23(1), 86-102. https://doi.org/10.1177/0969776413481985
Kabisch, N., & Haase, D. (2011). Diversifying European agglomerations: Evidence of urban population trends for the 21st century. Population, Space and Place, 17(3), 236-253. https://doi.org/10.1002/psp.600
Kalkuhl, M., Steckel, J. C., Montrone, L., Jakob, M., Peters, J., & Edenhofer, O. (2019). Successful coal phase-out requires new models of development. Nature Energy, 4, 897-900. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-019-0500-5
Kotenko, S., Shvindina, H., & Heiets, I. (2021). The impact of migration on the competitiveness of the region and industry development. E3S Web of Conferences, 307, 02003. https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202130702003
Lamela, C., Cardesín, J. M., & García Docampo, M. (2014). Dinámicas territoriales en España: Problemas y tendencias en la estructura y ordenación del territorio. Nueva Biblioteca.
Méndez, R., & Peiró, P. (2013). Sinking money into a pit. El País. Available in: https://is.gd/ov5edv
Nadal, J. (1975). El fracaso de la revolución industrial en España. Ariel.
Navamuel, E. L., Rubiera Morollón, F., & Moreno Cuartas, B. (2018). Energy consumption and urban sprawl: Evidence for the Spanish case. Journal of Cleaner Production, 172, 3479- 3486. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.08.110
Newsham, N., & Rowe, F. (2023). Understanding trajectories of population decline across rural and urban Europe: A sequence analysis. Population, Space and Place, 29(3) e2630. https://doi.org/10.1002/psp.2630
Pérez-Sindín, X., & Van Assche, K. (2020). From coal not to ashes but to what? As Pontes, social memory and the concentration problem. Extractive Industries and Society, 7(3), 882- 891. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.exis.2020.07.016
Pérez-Sindín, X. S. (2021). Energy megaprojects and social disruption: Examining empirical evidence from the surroundings of the largest power plant in Spain. Energy Research & Social Science, 80, 102229. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2021.102229
Poot, J. (2008). Demographic change and regional competitiveness: The effects of immigration and ageing. International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy, 4, 129-145.
Pužulis, A., & Kūle, L. (2016). Shrinking of rural territories in Latvia. European Integration Studies, (10), 90-105. https://doi.org/10.5755/j01.eis.0.10.14988
Reinoso Moreno, D., & Sancho Comíns, J. (2011). Una contribución activa al desarrollo rural. Ministerio de Medio Ambiente y Medio Rural, Madrid.
Rentier, G., Lelieveldt, H., & Kramer, G. J. (2019). Varieties of coal-fired power phase-out across Europe. Energy Policy, 132, 620-632. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2019.05.042
Rodríguez-Martín, N. (2021). ‘Ni luz, ni carbón, ni autoridad’. La crisis del alumbrado público y del suministro de gas en Madrid durante la primera guerra mundial. Historia Social, 101, 23-42.
del Rosal Fernández, I. (2004). La reconversión del carbón, una dependencia plena de la decisión pública. Economía Industrial, (355-356), 155-166.
San Juan, C., & Sunyer, C. (2020). Rural depopulation and income convergence. Economía Agraria y Recursos Naturales, 19(2), 29-48. https://doi.org/10.7201/earn.2019.02.02
Sánchez Melado, J. (2007). La minería leonesa del carbón durante la autarquía. Estudios Humanísticos. Historia, 6, 245-271.
Sanz-Hernández, A., Ferrer, C., López-Rodríguez, M. E., & Marco-Fondevila, M. (2020). Visions, innovations, and justice? Transition contracts in Spain as policy mix instruments. Energy Research & Social Science, 70, 101762. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2020.101762
Spanish Government (2007) Royal Decree 1112/2007, of August 24, establishing the aid regime for the development of infrastructure in the coal mining regions. Official Gazette of the Spanish Government (BOE), No. 207, August 30, 2007.
Sudríá, C. (1992). El instituto nacional de industria y la crisis del carbón (1960-1989). Áreas. Revista Internacional de Ciencias Sociales, 215-232.
Sudríá, C. (2001). La economía española bajo el primer franquismo: La energía. VII Congreso de La Asociación de Historia Económica.
Ubarevičienė, R., van Ham, M., & Burneika, D. (2016). Shrinking regions in a shrinking country: The geography of population decline in Lithuania 2001- 2011. Urban Studies Research, 2016, 1- 18. https://doi.org/10.1155/2016/5395379
UGT, & CCOO. (2015). La minería del carbón y las comarcas mineras desde 1986 hasta, y después, de 2019 en España. Madrid.
Vega Crespo, J. (1994). La reordenación de la minería leonesa del carbón: Causas y consecuencias. Anales de Estudios Económicos y Empresariales, 9, 357-382.
Wojewodzka-Wiewiorska, A. (2019). Depopulation in rural areas in Poland – Socio-economic local perspective. Research for Rural Development, 2, 126-132. https://doi.org/10.22616/rrd.25.2019.059